I-CPI Igqithise Ulindelo: Iinyani ezimbini, iNyaniso enye
09/27/2022
Ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kuyenyuka kodwa akwehlanga kancinci
NgoLwesibini odlulileyo, iSebe lezaBasebenzi likhuphe idatha ebonisa ukuba i-CPI iphakame i-8.3% ngo-Agasti ukusuka kunyaka ongaphambili, ngelixa ulindelo lwaluyi-8.1%.
Oku kukukhutshwa kokugqibela kwedatha yokunyuka kwamaxabiso ngaphambi kokunyuka kwesantya esicwangcisiweyo sale nyanga, nto leyo ngokungathandabuzekiyo ivelise umdla omkhulu kwiimarike zehlabathi kwiveki ephelileyo, xa iWall Street yabethwa “ngoLwesibini Omnyama” kabini kwizitokhwe kunye neebhondi.
Xa kuthelekiswa nexabiso lokunyuka kwamaxabiso e-8.5% ngoJulayi, i-CPI ngo-Agasti kuphela ipesenti ye-0.2 yamanqaku aphezulu kunokulindela kweemarike eziye zahla ngeenyanga ezimbini ezilandelelanayo.Abantu abaninzi banokuthandabuza ukuba kutheni iimarike zezimali zisaxhalabile.
Uyazi, usuku lokukhutshwa kwedatha lolona luhla lukhulu kwiminyaka emibini, izivuno zebhondi zase-US zonyuka, iminyaka emibini ye-US yebhondi ivelisa ukuya kwiminyaka elishumi elinesihlanu ephezulu.
Ngaba oku kuguquguquka okumangalisayo kweemarike kuphela ngenxa yomahluko "ongabalulekanga" olindelekileyo we-0.2%?
Ithemba elihambelanayo kuqikelelo lweemarike zangaphambili kwakungenxa yokuhla okubukhali kwamaxabiso amandla ngo-Agasti, ngakumbi amaxabiso epetroli, ekwabonakaliswa kwidatha yamva nje yokunyuka kwamaxabiso.
Nangona kunjalo, ezi datha zikwabonisa ukuba ukothuka konikezelo okubangelwe ngubhubhane kuguquke kwaba kukunyuka kwamaxabiso ngokupheleleyo kwaye akwehlanga njengoko intengiso ibilindelekile.
Umsantsa obonakala ungabalulekanga olindelekileyo wepesenti ye-0.2 yeepesenti unokufihla imeko enzima kakhulu kunokuba amanani abonisa.
Ireyithi yokunyuka okulindelweyo iba phezulu kwakhona
Enyanisweni, amaxabiso amandla aphantse abe ziindaba ezilungileyo kuphela kule ngxelo yokunyuka kwamaxabiso.
Ngaphaya koko, amaxabiso ayenyuka phantse kulo lonke udidi oluphambili, kuquka ukutya, irenti, impahla, ifenitshala, iimoto, ukhathalelo lwempilo nokunye.
Kwaye njengoko sonke sisazi, amaxabiso amandla ahlala esaziwa ngokuguquguquka kwawo okuphezulu, kwaye akukho siqinisekiso sokuba ixabiso leoli, elehla ngo-Agasti, aliyi kuphinda linyuke kwiinyanga ezizayo.
Ukuba ujonga ngokusondeleyo ekuphuhliseni le datha yokunyuka kwamaxabiso "ekuwa" ngokupheleleyo kwiidatha eziyingxenye, akufanele kube nzima ukuqonda ukuba kutheni imarike ibheja ngokukhawuleza kwi-100 isiseko sokunyuka.
Khumbula, i-Fed inyuse amaxabiso ngamanani e-225 ewonke ukususela ngo-Matshi, kodwa ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kubonakala kubonakalisa iimpawu zokucotha.
Okwangoku, isixhobo se-CME Group FedWatch sibonisa ukuba amathuba okunyuka kwezinga le-75 ye-Fed ngoSeptemba anyukile ukuya kuma-77% kwaye amathuba okunyuka kwe-100 yesiseko kwi-23%.
Umthombo womfanekiso: https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/interest-rates/countdown-to-fomc.html
Imarike iqala ukuqonda ukuba umgaqo-nkqubo wokuqinisa i-Fed awuyi kutshintsha, ubuncinci de kube sekupheleni konyaka, kuba i-equities yase-US iya kuhlala ijongene nezopolitiko zokucinezelwa.
Indlela yokunyuka kwesantya esilandelayo.
I-Fed's 75 basis point rate yokunyuka kwintlanganiso ye-21 kaSeptemba ngokuqinisekileyo yayiza kwenzeka.
Ngokunyuka kwamaxabiso aphezulu axhaswa yidatha yezoqoqosho eqinile, amagosa e-Federal Reserve athathe amanyathelo okulwa nokunyuka kwamaxabiso kunye nokukhusela ukuba avuke kwakhona.
Imarike ngoku ngokubanzi ilindele ukuba ireyithi yemali ye-federal inyuke ngaphezu kwe-4% ukuya kwi-4.25% ekupheleni konyaka, oku kuthetha ukuba ubuncinane be-150 isiseko samanqaku okunyuka kwezinga kwiintlanganiso ezintathu eziseleyo kulo nyaka.
Oku kuthetha ukunyuka kwamanqaku angama-75 ngoSeptemba, emva koko ibe ngamanqaku angama-50 ngoNovemba, kunye namanqaku asisiseko angama-25 ngoDisemba.
Ukuba izinga lomgaqo-nkqubo lingaphezulu kwe-4%, liya kubanjwa kuloo "luhlu oluthintelweyo" ixesha elide, njengoko uPowell etshilo ngaphambili.
Ngamanye amazwi, amaxabiso emali-mboleko aya kuhlala ephezulu kangangexesha elithile!Abo badinga imali-mboleko kufuneka balibambe eli thuba ngaphambi kokuba kunyuke isantya.
Inkcazo: Eli nqaku lihlelwe ngu-AAA LENDINGS;enye yemifanekiso ithathwe kwi-Intanethi, indawo yesiza ayimelwanga kwaye ayinakuphinda ishicilelwe ngaphandle kwemvume.Kukho imingcipheko kwimarike kwaye utyalo-mali kufuneka lulumke.Eli nqaku alibandakanyi iingcebiso zotyalo-mali lomntu, kwaye alithatheli ingqalelo iinjongo ezithile zotyalo-mali, imeko yezemali okanye iimfuno zabasebenzisi ngabanye.Abasebenzisi kufuneka bathathele ingqalelo ukuba ngaba naziphi na izimvo, izimvo okanye izigqibo eziqulathwe apha zifanelekile na kwimeko yabo ethile.Tyala imali ngokufanelekileyo kumngcipheko wakho.
Ixesha lokuposa: Sep-27-2022