Is Ukunyuka kwamaxabiso As Fierce As A Tiger?
It May Not Be As Scary As You Thamba
06/15/2022
Ukunyuka kwamaxabiso t galela amanzi abandayo kwakhona!I-CPI Igqithise Ulindelo
Phantse kwiiveki ezimbini ezedlulileyo, emva kokukhululwa kwe-PCE engaphantsi kune-ilindelwe (i-Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index) yexabiso lentengo ngo-Ephreli, imarike yayilungile.Kukholelwa ukuba kukho iimpawu zokuqala zokunyuka kwamaxabiso kunye nabantu baqala ukuqikelela ukuba idatha ye-CPI elandelayo ingaba yinto emangalisayo, nayo.
Nangona kunjalo, ngaphambi koLwesihlanu, uJP Morgan wathi idatha ye-CPI ezayo iya kudlula ukulindela kweemarike.Le ngxelo yaphula iimbono zemarike malunga nokupholisa ukunyuka kwamaxabiso.
Amasheya ase-US awela ngokukhawuleza kwiindaba, kwaye isivuno se-Treasury iminyaka eyi-10 saqhubeka sinyuka, saphula uphawu lwe-3%.
Okumangalisa ngakumbi, iSebe lezaBasebenzi lathi ngoLwesihlanu ukuba i-index yexabiso lomthengi inyuke ngeepesenti ze-8.6 ngoMeyi ukusuka kunyaka ongaphambili, okude ngakumbi kune-8.3 yeepesenti ezilindelwe yimarike.
Idatha ephezulu kunokuba bekulindelwe yawatshabalalisa ngokupheleleyo amaphupha okuba ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kunokubuyela umva phakathi enyakeni.
Imarike yemasheya yawela kwi "Black Friday", kwaye isivuno se-treasury ye-10 yenyuka kwi-3.1%.
Intlanganiso yale nyanga malunga nesantya iya kubanjwa ngoJuni 14, amagosa e-Fed athi kwintetho yokugqibela enkulu ngaphambi kokungena kwixesha elithulile ukuba ingaba inzala iya kuqhubeka nokunyuka ngamanqaku angama-50 ngoSeptemba kuya kuxhomekeka ekusebenzeni kwedatha yokunyuka kwamaxabiso.
Idatha yaseChicagoland ibonise i-41.6% yethuba lokunyuka kwe-50 yesiseko senqanaba lokunyuka ngoSeptemba nje emva kokukhululwa kwedatha yokunyuka kwamaxabiso.Nangona kunjalo, kukho i-48.5 yepesenti yokunyuka kwamanqaku angama-75 kwenye yeentlanganiso ezintathu ezilandelayo.
Imakethi iphantse yagqiba ekubeni ngaphandle kwamanyathelo amaninzi athathwe yi-Fed, uxinzelelo lokunyuka kwamaxabiso luya luqiniswa kwaye luqhubeka nokunyuka: ukunyuka kwamazinga okuphambene kuyeza.
Kodwa ngaba oku kuya kuba njalo ngokwenene?Kutheni le nto ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kunenkani xa kukho ukuqina okungaka?
Ithemba liyakhula kancinci
Iinkcukacha-manani eziphambili zokunyuka kwamaxabiso azihoywa ngabantu abaninzi: Nangona umgaqo-nkqubo wokuqinisa imali unyuse amazinga aphezulu, i-CPI engundoqo iye yawa emva kweenyanga ezimbini ezilandelelanayo.
Undoqo we-CPI sisalathiso samaxabiso abathengi esingabandakanyi amaxabiso okutya namandla.Yimbonakaliso yokwenene yendlela uqoqosho oluqhuba ngayo njengoko ingabandakanyi amaxabiso eemveliso athe anyuka okwethutyana ngenxa yezizathu zobonelelo.
Ukunyuka ngokubanzi kwe-CPI kukhokelwa ikakhulu kukunyuka kwamandla kunye namaxabiso okutya, esona sizathu siphambili sokuba kutheni i-CPI engundoqo ihluke kakhulu kwindlela yokunyuka kwamaxabiso.
Inguquko iya kuza
Ukususela ekuqaleni kwalo nyaka, ungquzulwano lwaseRashiya ne-Ukrainian lukhokelele ekunyukeni kwamaxabiso ombane kunye nokutya;ukubonelelwa kwezinto ezikrwada kunye nempahla ephakathi efunekayo kwimveliso yeshishini e-US phantsi kwendyikityha ephindaphindiweyo e-China akwanelanga, kwaye ukuguquguquka kokubonelela kuye kwakhokelela ekunyukeni kwamaxabiso eemveliso.
Nangona kunjalo, imfazwe ayinakuze ibe yithoni ephambili, kwaye intsilelo yokubonelela okubangelwa ngubhubhane ngokuthe ngcembe ibuyela, kwaye ukuthambekela kwexesha elide lamaxabiso ekugqibeleni kuya kubuyela kwindlela elungileyo.
Ukongeza, ulawulo lweBiden lusanda kuqalisa ukuthatha ukuma ekunciphiseni amaxabiso eTshayina.Amaxabiso kunye nokunyuka kwamaxabiso yeyona miba ibalulekileyo eya kuthi imisele indlela abavoti abaza kuvota ngayo kunyulo lwaphakathi enyakeni, kwaye ulawulo lweBiden, oluzama ukulawula ngokufanelekileyo ukunyuka kwamaxabiso, lunokuthi luphelise ezinye, nazo zonke iirhafu ezibekwe eTshayina.
Izinga eliphezulu langoku lokunyuka kwamaxabiso alilawulwa kuphela ngokuqiniswa komgaqo-nkqubo wezemali, kodwa nokuthotywa kwamaxabiso erhafu, okunokunciphisa ubukhulu becala iindleko zokuphila kwaye ngaloo ndlela kucinezele indlela yokunyuka kwamaxabiso.Olunye uphononongo lucebisa ukuba ukupheliswa kweentlawulo ezongezelelweyo kuya kuthoba ukukhula kweCPI ukuya kuthi ga kwi-3.4 yepesenti.
Oku kuthetha ukuba i-Fed iya kufumana indawo eninzi yomgaqo-nkqubo, kwaye i-Fed iya kuthi emva koko ibeke i-brakes yokuqinisa xa kukho ukuhla kwexabiso lokunyuka kwamaxabiso.
Lilonke, nangona ukunyuka kwamaxabiso kunye nokunyuka kwamaxabiso okulindelweyo akuthembisi kangako, akukho mfuneko yokuba ungabi nathemba kakhulu.
Kubalulekile ukwazi ukuba emva kokuba i-pessimism yemarike ikhutshwe, ixesha elibi kakhulu linokuthi lidlule.
Izinto zisoloko zibambi ngaphambi kokuba zibengcono.
Inkcazo: Eli nqaku lihlelwe ngu-AAA LENDINGS;enye yemifanekiso ithathwe kwi-Intanethi, indawo yesiza ayimelwanga kwaye ayinakuphinda ishicilelwe ngaphandle kwemvume.Kukho imingcipheko kwimarike kwaye utyalo-mali kufuneka lulumke.Eli nqaku alibandakanyi iingcebiso zotyalo-mali lomntu, kwaye alithatheli ingqalelo iinjongo ezithile zotyalo-mali, imeko yezemali okanye iimfuno zabasebenzisi ngabanye.Abasebenzisi kufuneka bathathele ingqalelo ukuba ngaba naziphi na izimvo, izimvo okanye izigqibo eziqulathwe apha zifanelekile na kwimeko yabo ethile.Tyala imali ngokufanelekileyo kumngcipheko wakho.
Ixesha lokuposa: Jun-17-2022