I-CPI ibonisa ukuPholisa okuBanzi

NgoLwesine, i-11 kaJulayi, iSebe lezeMisebenzi likhuphe idatha ebonisa ukuba izinga lokukhula konyaka-ngonyaka we-CPI ngoJuni liye lancipha ukusuka kwi-3.3% ngoMeyi ukuya kwi-3%, ngaphantsi kwe-3.1 elindelekileyo. Eli lelona zinga lokukhula lisezantsi ukususela ngoJuni wonyaka ophelileyo kwaye liphawula ukwehla kwenyanga-ngenyanga yokuqala ukusuka ngoMeyi ka-2020, kunye nokuhla nge-0.1%.

I-CPI engundoqo ikhule nge-3.3% unyaka nonyaka, ngaphantsi kwe-3.4% elindelekileyo. Ukukhula kwenyanga-ngenyanga bekuyi-0.1%, elona nyuso lincinci ukususela ngo-Agasti 2021. Oku kucotha okungalindelekanga kwedatha ngokungathandabuzekiyo kufaka idosi eyomeleleyo yokuzithemba kwimarike, ebonisa ukupholisa okubanzi kokunyuka kwamaxabiso.

Ngokukodwa, zombini iimpahla kunye neenkonzo zokunyuka kwamaxabiso entengo ziye zancipha unyaka nonyaka, ngamaxabiso eempahla abonisa ukwehla okutsha ukusukela ngo-2020, ehla nge-1.8% unyaka nonyaka.

Okuqaphelekayo, ukunyuka kwamaxabiso ezindlu ngaphakathi kwe-CPI engundoqo nako kuyakukhawulezisa ukucotha kwayo.

Unyaka nonyaka, izinga lokunyuka kwamaxabiso ezindlu ngoJuni lehle laya kutsho kwi-5.16%, lehla lisuka kwi-5.41% ngoMeyi, libonisa elona nqanaba liphantsi ukususela ngoMeyi ka-2022. Ukunyuka kwamaxabiso erenti kunyuke nge-5.07% unyaka nonyaka, kwehle ukusuka kwi-5.30% ngoMeyi, elona nqanaba lisezantsi ukusukela ngo-Epreli 2022.

Ireyithi Inciphisa Okungenayo?

Ukulandela ukukhutshwa kwedatha, i-Treasury imveliso iyancipha. Isivuno samva nje se-10 seminyaka kaNondyebo sifike phantse kwiinyanga ezintathu ezisezantsi.

Idola kunye negolide nazo zibonise ukusabela okuhambelanayo. Nangona kunjalo, ngenxa yohlengahlengiso lwentengiso, kutsha nje ii-giants ezinamandla zetekhnoloji zase-US ezinjengeNvidia, iApple, kunye neMicrosoft ziye zafumana ukwehla okukhulu. Ngakolunye uhlangothi, i-stocks ehlala ixesha elide i-stock-cap-stocks yabona ukunyuka kwempindezelo, kunye ne-Russell 2000 index jumping 3.6% ngosuku olunye. Okwangoku, i-index ye-Nasdaq ekhulayo yangaphambili yehla nge-2%, kwaye i-S & P 500 index yehla nge-1.4%.

Idatha ibonisa ukuba ukusebenza kolu suku kuphawule umsantsa omkhulu wosuku olunye phakathi kwe-Russell 2000 index kunye neNasdaq ukususela ngo-1986.

Ngakolunye uhlangothi, imarike iye yandisa amathuba okusika amaxabiso e-Federal Reserve ukususela ngoSeptemba ukusuka malunga ne-70% ngaphambi kokukhutshwa kwedatha ukuya kwi-90%. Kuphela yi-7.3% ekholelwa ukuba akusayi kuncitshiswa.

Ukongeza, imarike ilindele ukuncitshiswa kwereyithi ye-2-3 unyaka wonke, kunye ne-46.6% yamathuba okucuthwa kweereyithi ezintathu.

Iingcali zezoqoqosho kunye nababukeli beemarike baye bavakalisa ukuzithemba ekunciphiseni izinga le-Fed, kunye ne-JPMorgan ihambisa ixesha elilindelekileyo lokunciphisa izinga ukusuka ngoNovemba ukuya kuSeptemba. Phakathi kwekhorasi yokuncitshiswa kolindelo, kubonakala kungumcimbi wexesha kuphela.

Trump njenge X-Factor?

Nangona kunjalo, ukungaqiniseki kwezopolitiko kunokwenza kube nzima ukufika kokunciphisa amaxabiso.

Iingxelo zibonisa ukuba ukuba i-Fed ikhetha ukunciphisa amaxabiso ngoSeptemba, inokubonwa njengento ethandekayo kuMongameli u-Biden. Ukuba iTrump iphumelele unyulo ngoNovemba, inokubangela impindezelo yezopolitiko.

Nangona uPowell ekuqaleni wamiselwa njengoSihlalo weFed nguTrump kwaye uhlala echazwa njengeRiphabhlikhi ebhalisiweyo, uTrump usajonga izigqibo zikaPowell njengeempembelelo zezopolitiko. AmaRiphabhlikhi e-Congressional alumkise uPowell ngokuchasene namazinga okunciphisa ngaphambi konyulo lukaNovemba. USihlalo weKomiti yeeNkonzo zezeMali zeNdlu uHenry uthe, "Wonke umntu ufuna ukuthotywa kwexabiso ...

Ngaphaya koko, iiRiphabhlikhi zeCongressional ziye zalumkisa uPowell ngokuchasene namazinga okunciphisa ngaphambi konyulo, hleze abonwe njengesenzo sezopolitiko. USihlalo we-Fed u-Powell ugxininisa ukuba izigqibo ziya kusekelwa ngokungqongqo kwidatha kunye nembono yezoqoqosho, kungekhona imiba yezopolitiko.